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How top developers are scripting a new chapter in the Indian housing market
The Context: Why Q1FY26 Matters
The Indian real estate sector has always been cyclical moving through ups and downs based on demand, interest rates, approvals, and economic conditions . But Q1FY26 (April–June 2025) is turning out to be a landmark quarter for top developers like DLF, Prestige, Lodha, and Oberoi.
Despite global uncertainties (like the Iran Israel war, inflationary pressures, and slowing global growth) and domestic challenges (rising home loan rates, property price hikes, and regulatory delays), India’s luxury housing segment is defying the slowdown .
Analysts from HSBC, Nomura, and Care Ratings point out that luxury projects launched this quarter have seen record absorption, often selling out inventory worth thousands of crores within weeks.
Lessons & Insights for Different Audiences
🎓 For Students of Real Estate & Business
- Economic Principle in Action : While demand for affordable housing slows when interest rates rise, luxury buyers are less price sensitive. This shows inelastic demand in high income housing.
- Policy Impact : Approval delays can shift sales from one financial year to the next, directly influencing company earnings.
- Consumer Psychology : Buyers in luxury housing often value brand trust, exclusivity, and location more than discounts or price cuts.
👷 For Builders & Developers
- Luxury is the Margin Driver : Higher ticket sizes = better margins (Ebitda). For example, DLF’s premium launches nearly doubled sales.
- Inventory Absorption is Key : Lodha’s Oberoi Realty Elyisan Tower D sold ₹970 crore worth of homes quickly, showing how location + brand equity accelerates sales.
- Diversified Launches Work : Prestige clocked ₹12,280 crore bookings across projects in Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and Mumbai, proving that geographic spread + strong brand = resilience .
💼 For Investors & Professionals
- Premium Housing = Stable Returns : As per Nomura, developers with strong luxury pipelines (DLF, Prestige) are expected to outperform peers in FY26.
- Shift in Market Structure : Housing absorption in key metros (Mumbai, NCR, Bengaluru) has come down from 8 quarters of inventory to just 4–5, meaning supply shortage = pricing power for developers .
- Strategic Positioning : Companies focusing on luxury projects are likely to deliver better earnings visibility , while mid market developers may face headwinds.
Q1 Pre Sales Performance (₹ Crore)
| Company | Q1FY25 | Q1FY26 (E) | Growth % (YoY) | Key Driver |
| DLF | 6,410 | 11,300 | 🔼 76% | Luxury launches, strong brand demand |
| Godrej | 8,640 | 5,400 | 🔽 37% | Delay in approvals, slower launches |
| Oberoi | 1,070 | 1,400 | 🔼 31% | Elyisan Tower D success in Mumbai |
| Prestige | 9,030 | 12,280 | 🔼 36% | Multiple city launches, high absorption |
| Lodha | 4,030 | 4,450 | 🔼 10% | Sustained luxury demand in Mumbai |
E = Estimates | Sources: HSBC, Nomura, Care Ratings, Company Filings
Case Studies of Growth
- DLF : Reported one of the strongest quarters ever, with premium project launches in Gurugram and NCR. Nearly doubled sales due to pent up demand and brand loyalty.
- Prestige Group : Expanded aggressively in South India and Mumbai; its ₹3,000 crore sales in Indirapuram and Devanhalli highlight how mid tier locations are turning premium.
- Lodha : Despite geopolitical headwinds, it maintained steady growth, supported by its luxury focused Oberoi Realty collaboration.
- Oberoi Realty : Elyisan Tower D in Goregaon clocked nearly ₹970 crore in bookings within weeks.
- Godrej Properties : The only laggard, facing a sales dip due to approval delays showing how timing can make or break quarterly numbers.
Big Market Takeaways
1. Luxury Absorption Strong: Buyers with high net worth are driving demand, unaffected by economic uncertainty.
2. Mid Market Struggles: Rising interest rates and affordability pressures slow down mid income housing.
3. Regulatory Approvals Matter: A single approval delay can shift thousands of crores of sales into the next quarter.
4. Developer Power Rising: Supply shortage = stronger pricing power. Premium developers are in control.
5. Urban Migration Continue: Cities like Mumbai, Bengaluru, NCR remain hotspots, with micro markets like Pune and Hyderabad emerging.